UEFA Champions League
Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
Tuesday, May 05, 19:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 38.6%Arsenal
45.2%
Draw
23.1%
Atlético Madrid
31.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 43.8% | 35.4% | 20.8% |
| poisson | 41.0% | 15.8% | 43.2% |
| elo | 49.1% | 24.7% | 26.2% |
- Arsenal wPPG 2.71 (home 2.50, W-W-W-W-W)
- Atlético Madrid wPPG 2.43 (away 2.33, W-W-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.46
- xG Arsenal 3.26 vs Atlético Madrid 3.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Arsenal 1712 vs Atlético Madrid 1662
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).