Danish Superliga

AGF vs FC Midtjylland

Sunday, Apr 26, 18:00

Consensus

Medium confidence · 68.6%
AGF
72.8%
Draw
17.6%
FC Midtjylland
9.5%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form63.0%27.9%9.1%
poisson83.9%10.6%5.5%
elo56.2%21.4%22.4%
  • AGF wPPG 2.75 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
  • FC Midtjylland wPPG 1.74 (away 0.80, D-W-W-L-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.21
  • xG AGF 2.74 vs FC Midtjylland 0.53
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo AGF 1698 vs FC Midtjylland 1598
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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