Danish Superliga
FC Nordsjælland vs AGF
Thursday, Apr 23, 16:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 46.5%FC Nordsjælland
26.0%
Draw
24.2%
AGF
49.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 16.0% | 32.7% | 51.2% |
| poisson | 34.5% | 19.1% | 46.4% |
| elo | 25.4% | 24.0% | 50.6% |
- FC Nordsjælland wPPG 1.66 (home 1.80, W-L-W-L-W)
- AGF wPPG 2.75 (away 2.33, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.73
- xG FC Nordsjælland 1.83 vs AGF 2.13
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Nordsjælland 1518 vs AGF 1698
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).