Danish Superliga
FC Nordsjælland vs Viborg FF
Sunday, Apr 19, 14:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 24.0%FC Nordsjælland
38.0%
book 44.2%
Draw
25.6%
book 25.8%
Viborg FF
36.3%
book 30.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 36.1% | 37.9% | 25.9% |
| poisson | 28.7% | 16.7% | 54.6% |
| elo | 40.7% | 28.7% | 30.6% |
| market | 44.2% | 25.8% | 30.0% |
- FC Nordsjælland wPPG 1.66 (home 1.80, W-L-W-L-W)
- Viborg FF wPPG 1.32 (away 1.67, L-L-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.21
- xG FC Nordsjælland 2.09 vs Viborg FF 2.84
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Nordsjælland 1518 vs Viborg FF 1529
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- away 3.10EV +12.6%Edge 6.4%Kelly 6.0%