Danish Superliga
Silkeborg IF vs FC Fredericia
Sunday, Apr 19, 12:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 62.2%Silkeborg IF
60.7%
book 46.8%
Draw
20.8%
book 25.5%
FC Fredericia
18.5%
book 27.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 59.4% | 29.5% | 11.1% |
| poisson | 74.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% |
| elo | 60.5% | 19.3% | 20.2% |
| market | 46.8% | 25.5% | 27.8% |
- Silkeborg IF wPPG 1.70 (home 1.75, W-L-L-W-W)
- FC Fredericia wPPG 1.28 (away 1.00, W-L-W-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.05
- xG Silkeborg IF 3.26 vs FC Fredericia 1.39
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Silkeborg IF 1547 vs FC Fredericia 1416
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 1.96EV +19.0%Edge 13.9%Kelly 19.8%