Danish Superliga
Vejle vs FC København
Sunday, Apr 19, 16:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 40.6%Vejle
42.7%
book 16.8%
Draw
23.9%
book 21.3%
FC København
33.4%
book 61.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 42.9% | 35.7% | 21.4% |
| poisson | 68.9% | 15.4% | 15.7% |
| elo | 46.1% | 26.1% | 27.8% |
| market | 16.8% | 21.3% | 61.9% |
- Vejle wPPG 1.17 (home 1.00, D-D-W-D-L)
- FC København wPPG 1.14 (away 0.60, L-L-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.43
- xG Vejle 2.61 vs FC København 1.17
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Vejle 1452 vs FC København 1424
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 5.50EV +135.0%Edge 26.0%Kelly 30.0%
- draw 4.33EV +3.4%Edge 2.6%Kelly 1.0%