Swiss Super League

BSC Young Boys vs FC St. Gallen 1879

Sunday, Apr 26, 14:30

Consensus

Low confidence · 48.2%
BSC Young Boys
52.0%
book 61.9%
FC St. Gallen 1879
48.0%
book 38.1%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form49.3%50.7%
poisson43.5%56.5%
elo51.2%48.8%
market61.9%38.1%
  • BSC Young Boys wPPG 0.99 (home 2.00, D-L-W-W-L)
  • FC St. Gallen 1879 wPPG 1.14 (away 2.17, L-L-W-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.02
  • xG BSC Young Boys 0.69 vs FC St. Gallen 1879 0.84
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo BSC Young Boys 1444 vs FC St. Gallen 1879 1496
  • Home-field bonus +60
  • Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices

Value bets

  • away 3.10
    EV +48.7%
    Edge 9.8%
    Kelly 23.2%

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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