Swiss Super League

FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys

Sunday, May 03, 14:30

Consensus

High confidence · 76.7%
FC Lugano
75.6%
BSC Young Boys
24.4%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form80.0%20.0%
poisson76.0%24.0%
elo69.2%30.8%
  • FC Lugano wPPG 1.34 (home 1.75, L-W-W-W-W)
  • BSC Young Boys wPPG 0.99 (away 0.80, D-L-W-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.87
  • xG FC Lugano 1.79 vs BSC Young Boys 0.87
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo FC Lugano 1525 vs BSC Young Boys 1444
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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