Swiss Super League
Basel vs FC Thun
Saturday, May 02, 18:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 68.0%Basel
32.2%
FC Thun
67.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 21.6% | 78.4% |
| poisson | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| elo | 37.2% | 62.8% |
- Basel wPPG 1.09 (home 1.20, D-L-D-W-W)
- FC Thun wPPG 1.76 (away 2.25, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.81
- xG Basel 0.31 vs FC Thun 0.48
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Basel 1473 vs FC Thun 1624
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).