Swiss Super League

Basel vs FC St. Gallen 1879

Thursday, May 14, 14:30

Consensus

Medium confidence · 56.9%
Basel
40.6%
FC St. Gallen 1879
59.4%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form47.2%52.8%
poisson29.0%71.0%
elo55.3%44.7%
  • Basel wPPG 1.09 (home 1.20, D-L-D-W-W)
  • FC St. Gallen 1879 wPPG 1.14 (away 2.17, L-L-W-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.07
  • xG Basel 0.41 vs FC St. Gallen 1879 0.84
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Basel 1473 vs FC St. Gallen 1879 1496
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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