Swiss Super League
Servette FC vs FC Winterthur
Sunday, Apr 26, 14:30
Consensus
High confidence · 82.3%Servette FC
82.7%
book 86.3%
FC Winterthur
17.3%
book 13.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 83.9% | 16.1% |
| poisson | 82.5% | 17.5% |
| elo | 73.1% | 26.9% |
| market | 86.3% | 13.7% |
- Servette FC wPPG 1.08 (home 1.67, W-L-W-L-W)
- FC Winterthur wPPG 0.65 (away 0.80, W-L-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.03
- xG Servette FC 1.66 vs FC Winterthur 0.58
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Servette FC 1460 vs FC Winterthur 1346
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- away 8.00EV +38.4%Edge 3.6%Kelly 5.5%
- home 1.27EV +5.0%Edge -3.6%Kelly 18.6%