Swiss Super League
Basel vs FC Sion
Sunday, Apr 26, 12:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.2%Basel
50.6%
book 56.1%
FC Sion
49.4%
book 43.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| poisson | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| elo | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| market | 56.1% | 43.9% |
- Basel wPPG 1.09 (home 1.20, D-L-D-W-W)
- FC Sion wPPG 1.21 (away 1.60, W-L-W-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.02
- xG Basel 0.50 vs FC Sion 0.62
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Basel 1473 vs FC Sion 1498
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- away 2.75EV +35.8%Edge 5.5%Kelly 20.4%
- home 2.15EV +8.8%Edge -5.5%Kelly 7.7%