Swiss Super League
FC Lugano vs Basel
Sunday, May 17, 14:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 57.6%FC Lugano
59.0%
Basel
41.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| poisson | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| elo | 65.5% | 34.5% |
- FC Lugano wPPG 1.34 (home 1.75, L-W-W-W-W)
- Basel wPPG 1.09 (away 2.00, D-L-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.49
- xG FC Lugano 0.83 vs Basel 0.87
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Lugano 1525 vs Basel 1473
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).