NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets
Sunday, Apr 26, 00:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 51.6%Minnesota Timberwolves
53.0%
Denver Nuggets
47.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| normal | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| elo | 60.5% | 39.5% |
- Minnesota Timberwolves wPPG 1.18 (home 1.71, L-L-W-W-W)
- Denver Nuggets wPPG 1.05 (away 1.50, W-L-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.21
- Expected score Minnesota Timberwolves 128.8 vs Denver Nuggets 132.7
- Margin μ=-1.41, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 45.3%
- Elo Minnesota Timberwolves 1585 vs Denver Nuggets 1571
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).