NBA
Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic
Sunday, Apr 19, 22:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 45.6%Detroit Pistons
53.4%
book 76.0%
Orlando Magic
46.6%
book 24.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| normal | 24.1% | 75.9% |
| elo | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| market | 76.0% | 24.0% |
- Detroit Pistons wPPG 1.43 (home 1.50, W-W-W-L-W)
- Orlando Magic wPPG 1.23 (away 2.40, L-W-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.14
- Expected score Detroit Pistons 106.1 vs Orlando Magic 117.0
- Margin μ=-8.46, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 24.1%
- Elo Detroit Pistons 1612 vs Orlando Magic 1590
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- away 4.00EV +86.5%Edge 22.7%Kelly 28.8%