NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors

Monday, Apr 20, 23:00

Consensus

High confidence · 76.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers
77.8%
book 76.0%
Toronto Raptors
22.2%
book 24.0%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form67.5%32.5%
normal88.7%11.3%
elo65.1%34.9%
market76.0%24.0%
  • Cleveland Cavaliers wPPG 1.52 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-L)
  • Toronto Raptors wPPG 1.08 (away 2.25, W-L-W-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.46
  • Expected score Cleveland Cavaliers 116.7 vs Toronto Raptors 104.6
  • Margin μ=14.51, σ=12
  • P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 88.7%
  • Elo Cleveland Cavaliers 1622 vs Toronto Raptors 1574
  • Home-field bonus +60
  • Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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