Euroleague

Real Madrid vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Friday, May 01, 18:45

Consensus

High confidence · 75.0%
Real Madrid
81.9%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
18.1%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form68.2%31.8%
normal93.4%6.6%
elo59.1%40.9%
  • Real Madrid wPPG 1.52 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-L)
  • Hapoel Tel-Aviv wPPG 1.48 (away 1.50, W-W-W-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.48
  • Expected score Real Madrid 75.7 vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv 60.2
  • Margin μ=18.04, σ=12
  • P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 93.4%
  • Elo Real Madrid 1622 vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv 1618
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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